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Houthi Threat Squeezes Options for Oil Shippers

Houthi Threat Squeezes Options for Oil Shippers

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Shippers by Bloomberg|W. Soon, G. Smith, N. Lua, J. Lee & A. Longley Wednesday, July 22, 2026 | 11:03 AM EST Ships

continue to turn away from the Red Sea's southern end, after Houthi rebels announced an embargo on Saudi exports

through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which has become a lifeline for oil exports since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war

with Iran. Image by mustafaoncul via iStock (Update) July 23, 2026, 8:11 AM GMT: Article updated with shipbroker quote

in 10th paragraph. Ships continue to turn away from the southern end of the Red Sea, after Yemen's Iran-backed

Houthi rebels announced an embargo on Saudi exports through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a narrow channel that has become a

lifeline for oil exports since the beginning of the US-Israeli war with Iran. Tracking data shows two Asia-bound vessels

appear to be heading north toward the Suez Canal - a diversion that could add 30 days of sailing time in some cases

- while others have paused their journeys. No crude oil tankers have been seen transiting Bab el-Mandeb since the

Houthis emailed shipowners earlier this week to tell them not to cross, although it's possible some have done so

with their transponders turned off. A disruption to traffic through the Red Sea would pile pressure onto global oil

markets, which have been roiled by renewed hostilities in the Gulf and the effective collapse of a ceasefire between the

US and Iran. Brent futures have already spiked more than 30 percent this month, passing $95 a barrel. At the port

of Yanbu, the main conduit through which Saudi Arabia has been able to continue its oil exports, just two of the seven

berths used to export oil were occupied on Wednesday morning, according to tracking data - although the European

Union's naval force in the Red Sea has advised merchant vessels to turn off their transponders if they called at

ports in the Kingdom. "Middle East risk has become a two-chokepoint problem," Standard Chartered analysts

including Emily Ashford wrote. "The cost of moving barrels is likely to increase while the risk

persists."  To keep its oil flowing to market, Saudi Arabia has shipped barrels across the breadth of the

country to its western coast and on to global markets. In the days before the Houthi threat, the kingdom had exported

record volumes of crude from its terminals on the Red Sea, shipping out 5.9 million barrels a day from the two terminals

at Yanbu in the week up to July 17, according to tanker tracking compiled by Bloomberg.Advertisement - Scroll to

continue The announcement of an embargo by the Houthis threatens that flow. The militants have previously attacked

merchant ships in the southern Red Sea, forcing vessels to divert around the area. The group hasn't struck a ship

since September last year, however, according to the EU. On Tuesday, oil tanker industry executives said shipping

companies had become more cautious about calling at the Saudi Red Sea port, though it was too early to say if that would

impact chartering fees and, crucially, loadings. The EU advised merchant vessels linked to Saudi Arabia and the US to

avoid transiting near Yemen. There continued to be no visible transits through the Bab el-Mandeb on Wednesday afternoon.

"Everyone is waiting for the first one to go through laden with Saudi crude to see what happens," said Halvor

Ellefsen, a London-based director at Fearnleys Shipbrokers UK Ltd. "In the meantime everyone is sitting on their

hands." As in the Strait of Hormuz, ships' attempts to disguise their positions to avoid attack makes it

difficult to accurately track movements in the region. However, there are signs that ships approaching the Gulf of Aden

from the Indian Ocean are stalling on their journeys as owners assess whether to transit. At least six crude oil tankers

destined to load crude at Yanbu have turned back or paused in the Arabian Sea, near the eastern approach to the Bab

el-Mandeb Strait, vessel tracking data show. On Tuesday, a Greek-owned Suezmax, the Amazon, which departed Yanbu with

more than 1 million barrels of crude, switched its destination to the Suez Canal. The tanker is meant to deliver its

cargo to India, shipping fixtures show. It is owned by Dynacom Tankers Management, one of the owners that carried on

sailing into the Persian Gulf at the start of the Iran war, but which has seen several of its vessels hit in both Hormuz

and the Black Sea in recent days. Dynacom didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. Ships carrying

liquefied petroleum gas and various volumes of crude oil have also either u-turned or paused their journeys, tracking

data shows.  One vessel, Xin Long Yang, has since reverted to its original route after earlier heading north, and

is now sailing toward Bab el-Mandeb. "The escalation of violence between the US and Iran now threatens even those

few Middle Eastern crude barrels that have been able to bypass Hormuz," Braemar analysts including Henry Curra

wrote. "Unless the chaos in the Middle East can be resolved quickly, we are likely to see a re-emergence of our

'urgency premium' for freight." The Houthi militant group in Yemen is ready to attack shipping from

positions near the Bab el-Mandeb strait at the southern end of the Red Sea, according to the Joint Maritime Information

Center, a global monitoring body for naval security. The EU naval mission to the Red Sea provides escorts for civilian

vessels in the region, but has warned that it has limited assets and that ships looking for protection may face waiting

times. Unlike the Persian Gulf, the Red Sea has an escape route north through the Suez Canal, but that means significant

additional sailing times and shipping costs for companies looking to move oil to Asia. "It's a cacophony of bad

news at the moment," said Sasha Foss, an analyst at CSC Commodities, a division of Marex Group. "I expect

things to correct higher the longer the Strait is closed, as we no longer have the buffers." What do you think?

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