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The road to 2047 runs through UPI

The road to 2047 runs through UPI

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ethicsSitemapContact UsHindustan TimesLive HindustanHT US NewsNifty 50Auto NewsMint MoneyREITSThe road to 2047 runs

through UPIUPI began as a solution to India’s fragmented payments system. A decade later, it is expanding formal

finance, enabling new credit models and laying infrastructure for the digital economy of 2047. Ashok ChandraUpdated23

Aug 2026, 12:05 PM ISTAshok Chandra, MD & CEO, Punjab National BankAI Quick ReadTen years ago, a payments protocol

went live across twenty-one banks with little fanfare and a first-month tally of just 373 transactions. Today, that same

system, the Unified Payments Interface (UPI), clears more transactions before breakfast than it processed in its entire

founding year.UPI carried 24,162 crore transactions worth ₹314 lakh crore, moving through more than 700 banks and

touching upwards of 500 million Indians. It now accounts for roughly 85% of all digital payment volume in the country

and nearly half of every real-time payment made anywhere on earth.In three decades in this industry, we have not seen a

piece of financial infrastructure that has changed the texture of daily life as quickly, or as invisibly, as this

one.Shared railsWhat we underestimated was the value of infrastructure that nobody owns.Because UPI was built as a

shared utility rather than a proprietary product, no single bank or wallet could wall its users in, and none has been

able to since. That single design decision, more than any marketing campaign, is why a tea-stall owner in a small town

today accepts payment from a customer whose bank, city and phone brand he has never heard of, without a second

thought.Also Read | Ajit Ranade: UPI should stay free—its costs are real but so are its benefitsAdoption was gradual

but steady. What followed was rapid and then explosive compounding. Third-party applications built consumer-friendly

interfaces on top of the UPI rails between 2017 and 2020, bringing in a first wave of young, urban users.The pandemic

did the rest. Contactless payments went from being a health precaution to a habit, and QR codes spread from metro

supermarkets to roadside vegetable carts.By the middle of this decade, features such as UPI Lite for offline-friendly

small payments, AutoPay for recurring bills, and credit lines extended directly on UPI had turned a payments app into

something closer to a full financial operating system for ordinary Indians.Beyond citiesEven more striking is how

completely digital payments have shifted from being an urban convenience to a rural and small-town default. Regional

rural banks alone now support tens of millions of UPI-linked accounts.UPI's significance is not really about payments at

all. It is about data and trust.Every digital transaction a small merchant makes leaves a footprint that formal lenders

can use to assess creditworthiness where little or no credit history existed before. This is quietly solving one of

Indian banking's oldest problems: how to extend affordable credit to borrowers who have no traditional credit record and

limited documentation.Also Read | Cash in the economy, ATM transactions, 10 countries… How UPI changed the

worldLayered on top of Aadhaar-based identity and the near-universal bank account coverage achieved under the Jan Dhan

Yojana, UPI completed what economists now call India's foundational Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) stack.Together,

these systems have enabled welfare payments and subsidies to flow directly into citizens' accounts, reducing leakages

that were long taken for granted in India.A developed economy needs a much larger formal sector than India has today,

and UPI is expanding that formal sector from the ground up, one small merchant and one digitized transaction at a

time.It needs deeper and more affordable credit markets, and UPI's transaction data is already becoming the raw material

for exactly that kind of lending innovation. It needs lower transaction costs across the economy, and a payments rail

that settles instantly at negligible cost, whether for a fraction of a rupee or several lakh rupees, represents

precisely the kind of productivity gain that compounds across a billion people.There is a global dimension too, one that

matters for a country seeking to be recognized as a technology power rather than merely a technology market. UPI now has

international linkages across several countries, from Singapore and the UAE to France.But global reach should not

distract from the work still to be done at home.The next layerTo move forward, we need continued expansion of offline

and low-connectivity options so that the last, hardest-to-reach households are not permanently excluded.We need sharper

fraud defences that keep pace with the sophistication of the scams being run against ordinary users. And we need to keep

building on top of UPI, linking it more deeply with credit, insurance and digital commerce rather than treating it as a

finished product.Ten years ago, UPI was a solution to a fragmented payments system. Today, it is the foundation on which

much of India's digital economy stands and a demonstration, watched closely by other developing nations, of what a

country can achieve when it treats infrastructure as a public good rather than a private prize.If the next decade builds

on these rails with the same ambition that built them in the first place, UPI will have done more than move money. It

will have helped move India closer to the developed nation it aspires to become by 2047.Also Read | UPI fuels rural

women’s digital leap—but few own their phonesAshok Chandra, MD & CEO, Punjab National BankDigital

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